Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks NBA Game Preview and Betting Odds

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The Miami Heat are set to host the Atlanta Hawks in an exciting Eastern Conference contest on Wednesday. The Heat are 26-30 overall and 12-11 at home, while the Hawks are 27-31 and 14-16 on the road. The Hawks won each of their first two matchups this season in Atlanta, most recently defeating the Heat, 98-86, on Monday. The Heat are favored by 2.5 points in the latest Hawks vs. Heat odds, according to the SportsLine consensus, with the over/under set at 231 points.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 19 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 147-106 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It's also an outstanding 18-10 (64%) on top-rated spread picks this season. The model has set its sights on Miami vs. Atlanta, and its picks can be found on SportsLine.

Atlanta is coming off its second victory over the Heat this season with a 98-86 win on Monday in Atlanta. The Hawks held Miami to 32.1% shooting from the field, including 17.5% on 3-pointers, and the Heat's 86 points were tied for the second-fewest in a game for them this season. If Atlanta's defensive efficiency can travel over to Miami, or the Heat simply continues to miss shots, Wednesday could have a similar result. The Heat are 1-6 over their last seven games, struggling to score consistently during that stretch, and have scored 86 points or fewer in three of the seven contests.

The Hawks' offense was led by six different players scoring at least 10 points on Monday, despite Trae Young scoring just 11 points on 4 of 14 shooting, including 0 of 7 on 3-pointers. Young is averaging 24 ppg and leads the league with 11.5 assists per game, and had 14 assists against Miami on Monday. The Heat had a dismal 3-point shooting night they'd like to forget about on Monday, but they aren't nearly as poor of a shooting team as they showed in that contest. The Heat are 16th in 3-point percentage (35.6%) and Tyler Herro, who shot 0 of 9 on 3-pointers, is shooting 37.2% from deep this season.

Here are the current injury reports for both teams:

• Heat: Kevin Love (GTD - Personal), Nikola Jovic (OUT - Hand), Dru Smith (OUT - Achilles)
• Hawks: Vit Krejci (OUT - Back), Larry Nance Jr. (OUT - Knee), Jalen Johnson (OUT - Shoulder), Kobe Bufkin (OUT - Shoulder)

The model has simulated Hawks vs. Heat 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under, projecting 223 combined points, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. The pick can be found on SportsLine, along with the latest NBA betting lines and odds for the game.

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